Bellarmine
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 88.8703Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 202 A Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 8-23 207 A Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 17- 9 210 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 6-11 214 H Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 10- 7 217 A Notre Dame ACC (10- 2, 99.9) 10-29 221 A Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 15- 9 224 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 87.6) 14-12 301 H LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 7-15 307 A Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 11-14 314 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 8-21 321 H Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 10-15 328 A Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-20 404 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 411 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17-18 418 H Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 7-27 425 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 16-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
202 A Duke 8-23 -15 -11 0.00
207 A Mercyhurst 17- 9 8 6 1.50
210 A Ohio State 6-11 -5 -8 + 2.00
214 H Cleveland State 10- 7 3 2 0.58
217 A Notre Dame 10-29 -19 -12 0.00
221 A Detroit Mercy 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.20
224 H St Bonaventure 14-12 2 3 -0.69
301 H LIU 7-15 -8 1 --- -7.85
307 A Robert Morris 11-14 -3 -4 0.99
314 A Rutgers 8-21 -13 -7 -0.37
321 H Marquette 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.68
328 A Utah 14-20 -6 -8 1.00
404 H Air Force 12-13 -1 -1 0.09
411 A Mercer 17-18 -1 -1 -0.03
418 H Jacksonville 7-27 -20 -6 -1.38
425 A Queens 16-12 4 2 1.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H LIU 7-15 -8 1 --- -7.85 321 H Marquette 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Detroit Mercy 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.20 210 A Ohio State 6-11 -5 -8 + 2.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 8-23 -1.28 19.32 1.38 0.89 -0.04
0 A Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 17- 9 -17.91 2.69 1.38 0.89 7.27
0 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 6-11 -4.25 16.35 1.38 0.89 -1.29
0 H Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 10- 7 -12.07 8.53 -1.38 0.89 12.79
0 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 99.9) 10-29 -0.00 20.60 1.38 0.89 -0.61
0 A Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 15- 9 -14.20 6.40 1.38 0.89 13.91
0 H St Bonaventure ( 4-10, 87.6) 14-12 -12.34 8.26 -1.38 0.89 12.31
0 H LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 7-15 -10.51 10.09 -1.38 0.89 -5.31
0 A Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 11-14 -8.42 12.18 1.38 0.89 -3.15
0 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 8-21 -5.77 14.82 1.38 0.89 -1.97
0 H Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 10-15 -8.34 12.26 -1.38 0.89 -4.34
0 A Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-20 -4.74 15.85 1.38 0.89 -1.51
0 H Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 -8.57 12.03 -1.38 0.89 -4.45
0 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17-18 -11.43 9.17 1.38 0.89 -4.50
0 H Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 7-27 -4.03 16.57 -1.38 0.89 -2.42
0 A Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 16-12 -14.59 6.01 1.38 0.89 13.22
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29.91
|
winning pts = 59.4975 losing points = -29.5852
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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